Mon. Feb 26th, 2024

Swing state Republican parties are engulfed in turmoil ahead of 2024

By 37ci3 Jan 13, 2024



The three battleground Republicans are managing the confusion, with many in the GOP worried that discord and dysfunction will put their candidates in critical races down or in jeopardy this fall.

In Michigan, Nevada and Florida – the three states where competitive presidential and Senate races will be held – state parties have been locked in leadership battles in recent weeks. in Florida, then ousted as GOP chairman was charged with rape. The two highest state party officials in Nevada were charged for them is claimed to have a role as “fake voters” for former President Donald Trump after he lost the 2020 election there.

Nowhere is the chaos more evident than in Michigan, though rival factions can’t agree on who’s in charge.

A large group of Michigan GOP committee members voted last week to oust Christina Caramo as chairwoman, saying she has led the party into bankruptcy and failed to deliver on promises of transparency and reform. At that time, the number 2 official of the party declared himself the deputy chairman. Karamo rejected the vote, claiming the process was illegitimate and violated the state party’s bylaws. Karamo called his meeting for Saturday.

“I’m the chairman of the Michigan Republican Party and that’s not going to change,” Karamo said in an interview with NBC News this week. “Now, according to the statute, there is a process to fire people, and if that process is done legally, then yes, I will accept the results. But none of this happened.”

Mike Detmer, who lost a 2022 state Senate primary after winning Trump’s endorsement, slammed the ongoing drama with the Michigan state party.

“It’s a complete clown show,” said Detmer, who said he has defected from the GOP to join the Constitution Party in the past few days, though he still plans to vote Republican in the upcoming election.

Detmer believes that while Karamo “maybe did some stupid things,” the state party fight would have been fought under any chair. Tensions between grassroots MAGA fans and longtime state GOP loyalists boiled over after widespread losses in the 2022 midterm elections that wiped out the statewide Republican slate, including Caramo.

Local activists “have nothing to do with the old guard,” Detmer said. “And the old guard wanted nothing to do with them. So now you have this terrible internal conflict. There will be a mess. Any candidate who makes it through the primary will really be on their own, they won’t get as much help and support as they want from the Michigan GOP because it’s a total mess.

“We don’t plan for them to be competent”

Rowing in the same direction, well-organized state parties can be invaluable to campaigns, taking the lead in fundraising that helps promote candidates and otherwise serving as a centralized apparatus for voter turnout efforts.

Still, the volatility in Michigan and other swing states hasn’t bothered every operative involved in efforts to flip or hold Senate seats, win contentious House races or boost the party’s latest presidential nominee.

Some Republicans say these problems are either quick fixes, on the way to a fix, or, in a worse-case scenario, there’s nothing a big influx of money can’t fix. In Florida, the tussle has ended with a new seat choice, while the battle in Michigan is sure to be resolved soon at the leadership level, Republicans say.

“They may have some personal legal issues in Nevada, but I’m not sure from the state’s point of view [it’s] more confusion than usual for state parties,” a Republican working in Nevada, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly. The Republican added, “I’ve seen with my own eyes that they never raise money, and we cleaned up there pretty well last cycle. . [Nevada Gov. Joe] Lombardo’s men build a machine to replicate it [former Democratic Sen. Harry] Operation Reid.”

As one Republican aide who works on Senate races said, if problems with state parties persist into the fall, there are solutions to keep the national committee money flowing to those states. This is in the recent past includes having a national currency go through the county-level GOP.

“Having a connected Michigan GOP to organize will be helpful, but it’s not the be-all and end-all,” said the person, who was not authorized to speak publicly. “There are ways. And all these groups will be very well-funded operations on the map.”

But Gustavo Portela, a Republican strategist and former party official who has worked on races in Michigan, said deep challenges that invalidate a state party “can hurt the overall goal” of electing Republicans.

“It means that at the end of the day there will be a group that is not very important at the table,” said Portela, a Karamo critic. “And it’s going to force campaigns to spend more money, to raise more money, to make the national party unable to rely on a critical resource that was there before.”

Others in the Michigan race are wildly worried about the uncertainty.

“We’re basically acting like there’s no state party,” said a veteran Republican operative who works on races in Michigan. “We don’t plan on them being competent this year.”

State committeewoman Bree Moeggenberg, who opposes Karamo, agreed that the embattled chairman’s inability to unify the party could cost him in November.

“This state could either make it or break it for the presidential election,” Moeggenberg said. “We have to get voters — not push voters, tell them they can beat the sand if they don’t agree with it. This is unacceptable as a leader.”

Turbulence in Florida and Nevada

Meanwhile, the Republican National Committee said Michigan, Florida and Nevada are part of a 15-state setup that will each see an enhanced national party staff focused on field operations, voter outreach, increased vote-by-mail and “organizational, election integrity” efforts. .

In Florida, the state party has been rocked by a scandal involving former Sarasota County chairman Christian Ziegler, who is under investigation for allegations of sexual harassment, including rape and illegally recording sex without the woman’s consent. He has not been formally charged and maintains his innocence, but the leadership of the Florida Republican Party voted to remove him from office during an emergency meeting in Tallahassee on Monday.

Florida’s shift to the right in recent years means Republicans in the state are likely to retain control, at least in the near term. The GOP controls nearly every level of power in state government and, in particular, overturned Democrats’ long-held voter registration advantage in the state last year. This comes after Florida Governor Ron DeSantis won re-election in 2022.

In short, Florida Republicans aren’t sweating any election results. The hard-fought state during the presidential race presents one of the only Senate races where Democrats can at least attempt to flip a GOP-held seat as Sen. Rick Scott seeks re-election.

David Johnson, a veteran Republican operative and former executive director of the Florida GOP, said he doesn’t think the recent turmoil involving Ziegler will hurt the party’s performance in the 2024 election cycle.

“All of this will be fixed in time with the support of state and national agencies,” Johnson said.

He said parties suffering leadership turnover should fix it before it affects their “fundraising and absolute voter programs”.

In NevadaRepublican primary campaigns, allies of DeSantis, conceded the state’s caucuses to Trump, claiming that the now-indicted officials tried to rig the election in his favor, with pro-DeSantis super PAC Never Back Down a now-former incumbent. to the point of calling the president of the state, Michael McDonald, “Trump’s puppet”.

McDonald, who pleaded not guilty to criminal charges along with Republican National Committeeman Jim DeGraffenreid, strongly denied the charge at the time.

Next steps in Michigan

In Michigan, those moving to oust Caramo argue that he and his allies violated statutes and that the votes they cast last weekend were legal.

“This is a prime example of how they’re creating their own rules and procedures that are still inconsistent with their own laws,” Moeggenberg said. “And don’t forget that these are the same faces of ‘election integrity.’ This is complete hypocrisy.”

Karamo lost the 2022 race for secretary of state, part of a slate of Republican candidates that contributed to the party’s worst election cycle in Michigan in 40 years. Karamo, a former community college teacher, gained a following as a prominent election denier after President Joe Biden won the state in 2020. He won the chair race last year. fear of wealthy donors who has ruled the state party for years with varying degrees of electoral success.

But many activists quickly became disillusioned that Karamo’s vision of crowdfunding showed no signs of coming to fruition. They questioned his management and financial actions pays top dollar will host a party function for actor Jim Caviezel that has previously attracted high-profile presidential candidates management of the party headquarters building.

Karamo called the push for its removal “performative nonsense.” He denied the party was facing bankruptcy and accused his critics of targeting him because he refused to “bow the knee” to political power.

“You know, unfortunately, the Republican Party has this quiet caste system,” Karamo said. “If you don’t come from the right rank, how dare you step out of the box?”

Karamo said he has contacted RNC officials to find out about the situation. RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel is a former Michigan GOP Chair.

The RNC said in a statement to NBC News that it will follow the results of this weekend’s national caucus.

“State chairs and members of the RNC are elected by state Republican parties,” said RNC spokeswoman Anna Kelly. “When the Michigan Republican Party sends us information about the weekend meetings, we will review it.”

Jason Roe, who served as executive director of the Michigan GOP until he was fired for saying the 2020 election wasn’t stolen but that Trump was “exploding,” said there are temporary solutions for national Republicans to avoid dealing with the “dysfunctional.” state parties” is far from an ideal situation. And in Michigan, he says the fight could go on for a while longer.

“Now we have 10 months left for the elections,” he said. “And this chaos that goes on every week and every month is a setback for the candidates’ campaigns.”



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