Tue. Jul 23rd, 2024

Biden still leads in Asian American vote, but support has declined

By 37ci3 Jul10,2024

Asian American voters favor it President Joe Biden it’s over Donald Trump, found a new query. But experts say that doesn’t mean Biden won the Asian American vote.

Survey, research Asian American voter Polls from April 4 to May 26 show that less than half of Asian American voters, 46%, would vote for Biden, and less than a third, 31%, would vote for Trump if the election were held at the time of the poll. About a quarter of voters surveyed said they would prefer a third-party candidate, were undecided or declined to answer.

The 2024 Asian American Voter Survey still shows an 8-point lead over Biden since 2020. Biden’s 15-point lead contrasts with the nearly 30-point lead he held over Trump among those same voters in the 2020 election, according to NBC News. request.

Janelle Wong, senior research fellow at the nonprofit group AAPI Data, one of the organizations involved in the report, said the new poll likely points to a lack of enthusiasm for Biden, a “problem” for his campaign.

“Polls generally overestimate voter turnout, and in this case there is a real indication that Asian American voters are not enthusiastic about Biden,” Wong said. “While we don’t see a mass movement toward Trump in our community, we do see a potentially problematic trend for the Biden campaign among this fairly loyal bloc of Democratic-leaning voters.”

The poll, released Wednesday by AAPI Data, APIAVote, Asian Americans Advancing Justice and AARP, surveyed 2,479 registered voters by phone and online. It reported an overall margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points, though it was higher for individual groups, including Chinese Americans.

The survey was conducted before the first presidential debate last month Biden performed poorlyWhich caused concern and criticism from Democrats and earlier Trump was found guilty of 34 felonies related to falsifying business records.

It turned out that 44% of Asian Americans have a negative view of Biden, and 62% have a negative view of Trump.

Although Biden’s support has decreased, Trump has gained only 1 point compared to his results since the last election 2020 Asian American Voter Survey. While Chinese American voters in the poll have been criticized for scapegoating the community for the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, Wong said they took a small step toward Trump. A majority of those polled still voted for Biden.

“Most polls show that Chinese Americans at least partially blame Trump for the rise in anti-Asian sentiment, but that by no means means he has less support from Chinese Americans than before the pandemic,” Wong said.

Registered voters in China, the Philippines, India, Korea, Japan and Vietnam were offered the survey in English, along with three other Asian languages.

The results found that 42% of Asian American voters identified as Democrats and 22% identified as Republicans. Twenty-seven percent identified as independent. Asian Americans still show strong support for Democrats, preferring the party’s nominees over Republicans in House elections, 51% to 30%. According to the poll, they expressed almost the same split in the Senate races.

When it comes to important issues, 86% of Asian American voters ranked jobs and the economy as top priorities. Inflation and health care came second, with 85% saying the issues were “extremely” or “very” important to deciding how to vote in November. Crime and education also ranked first.

Wong said Asian Americans surveyed see the GOP as more effective against inflation and the economy, and current priorities for Asian Americans, but based on the poll, it doesn’t appear that Asian Americans are more likely to vote for Republicans in Congress. .

Although experts note that Asian Americans are not overly enthusiastic about the presidential candidates, there is still serious interest in the election. 90 percent said they plan to vote for president in November, along with seats in Congress and other offices. However, a significant part of voters, i.e. 42%, was not contacted by any party.

Nathan Chan, associate professor of political science at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles, said the lack of Asian-American campaigning has remained a “disappointing constant” in elections over time.

“Both campaigns are losing both in building greater support for the party’s candidate and in winning potential support from undecided Asian American voters,” Chan said. “Unlike the rest of the American population, where there are currently fewer undecided voters, there is still a segment of the Asian American electorate that is ripe for the taking. “It’s up to campaigns to do the work to reach Asian American voters.”

Part of the problem, he said, is that campaigns and parties stereotype Asian American voters as “politically apathetic.” But researchers note record turnout in every federal election since 2016.

“The second is that they create stereotypes about potential problems we care about, such as education,” Chan said. “It’s important, but it’s not even in the top three in terms of ranking the issues we care about. So campaigns need to do a better job of reaching out to Asian American voters.”

Despite Biden’s poor debate performance and Trump’s conviction, Chan doesn’t expect Asian Americans to make much of a move unless the parties launch significant outreach efforts.

“Voters now have more questions, if they didn’t already, about this [Biden’s] not fit for office, but the inquiry also concluded shortly before Trump became the first president to be convicted of a felony.” “There’s so much going on with the context that … there’s a kind of balance.”

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