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Where abortion rights could be on the ballot this fall: From the Politics Desk

By 37ci3 Apr2,2024

Welcome to the online version of From the policy deskevening bulletin that brings you the latest reporting and analysis from the campaign trail, the White House and Capitol Hill from the NBC News Politics team.

In today’s edition, political reporter Adam Edelman looks at where abortion rights ballot measures could appear across the country this fall. Plus, senior political editor Mark Murray outlines what voters see as Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s top achievements and failures in office.

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States where abortion rights could be on the ballot this fall

By Adam Edelman

Florida Monday became the latest state to raise the issue of abortion directly in the hands of votersA state Supreme Court-ordered reproductive rights amendment to the state constitution could appear on the November ballot.

The state now joins deep blue Maryland and New York Like the places where voters will decide whether to protect abortion rights this year after the US Supreme Court decided to overturn Roe v. Wade in 2022.

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Similar efforts are underway in at least eight other states heading into the 2024 presidential election, as reproductive rights groups try to build on the still intact ballot measure. winning streak Since the fall of Roe. Democrats hope that these measures can increase the turnout of their candidates in primary races.

On the way: Organizers Arizona they say they are going fast to gather More than the 384,000 valid signatures needed by July 3, putting the proposed constitutional amendment on the ballot would provide a “fundamental right” to receive abortion care until the fetus is viable.

Reproductive rights advocates face similar challenges Nevada, abortion is now legal up to the 24th week of pregnancy. Organizers fear that such protections could be repealed in future Republican administrations they are looking for put an amendment on the ballot that would make it nearly impossible for lawmakers to ever remove these protections.

In MontanaIn cases where abortion is legal until fetal viability, the pro-abortion rights amendment is up for a vote after the state Supreme Court. is allowed effort to move forward.

And in it Colorado — one of six states with no pregnancy limit for a woman seeking an abortion — groups are likely meet the requirements to amend the November ballot. The proposal would also remove a ban on the use of public funds for abortion care.

A tough road ahead: In the meantime, Efforts to put the amendment on the ballot in a handful of red states face tougher obstacles.

In South Dakotaa proposed measure It faced many legal challenges and a robust “opt-out” movement that would have made abortion legal in the first trimester of pregnancy.

An effort Nebraska Placing a measure that would enshrine abortion rights in state constitutions until fetal viability faces an uptick, requiring 5% of the required 123,000 signatures of registered voters to come from 38 of the state’s 93 counties. A similar picture exists for organizers Arkansaswhere they must collect signatures from 50 of the state’s 75 counties to advance their proposed amendment.

And in it Missouri, organizers expect to submit about 172,000 valid signatures by May 5 to qualify for ballot placement later this year. But if the effort is successful, Republican Gov. Mike Parson will decide which ballot the measure will be placed on. Parson, for example, could decide to place the measure on the Aug. 6 primary ballot, which would likely have lower turnout than the general election.

Evaluate the successes and failures of Biden and Trump

Analysis by Mark Murray

With Election Day 2024 still seven months away, voters continue to have more positive memories of former President Donald Trump than President Joe Biden.

By a 2-to-1 margin, their biggest concern about Trump’s presidency was his personality rather than his role in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.

And voters don’t really associate abortion with the presumptive presidential candidate.

These are some of the key findings of recent times National Fox News poll It went beyond the traditional presidential horse race and favorability numbers for Biden and Trump.

The survey asked a simple question: What was each administration’s biggest success and biggest failure? Here are the best answers from voters who took part in the survey:

The greatest success of the Biden administration

  • Economy: 19%
  • Not being Trump/Keeping Trump out of office: 6%
  • Student loan debt forgiveness: 6%
  • Infrastructure account: 6%
  • Fight against the Covid pandemic: 4%

The biggest failure of the Biden administration

  • Immigration: 31%
  • Inflation/economy: 17%
  • Everything/too many to list: 15%
  • Foreign policy: 13%

The biggest success of the Trump administration

  • Economy: 35%
  • Immigration: 10%
  • Foreign policy: 9%
  • Generally good/everything: 5%
  • Covid vaccine development: 4%

The biggest failure of the Trump administration

  • Personal characteristics: 23%
  • Everything/too many to list: 12%
  • January 6 attacks/threat to democracy: 12%
  • Response to the Covid pandemic: 12%

The result: 35% of voters said the biggest achievement of the Trump administration was related to the economy, compared to 19% of the Biden administration.

Twenty-three percent said the former president’s personal characteristics were the biggest failure of the Trump administration, while 12 percent cited January 6 and a threat to democracy. For Biden, 31% said immigration was his biggest failure.

And abortion, in particular, barely registered — just 1% said the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe-Wade was Trump’s biggest success, and 2% said it was Trump’s biggest failure.

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For now, that’s it from The Politics Desk. If you have feedback – like it or not – send us an email

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