The A recent poll by NBC NewsOn Saturday, former President Donald Trump and rally attendees in Pennsylvania were shown both presidents performing before a gunman opened fire. Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris is trailing the Republican Donald Trump with 2 points in head-to-head matches.
Trump led Biden 45% to 43%, with 12% undecided or preferred, while the Republican former president led Harris 47% to 45%, with 8% undecided or preferred. Both results are within the poll’s margin of error.
But among those close results, the poll found Harris stronger than Biden, where he was weaker, and where there was almost no difference, as some in the Democratic Party clamored for another candidate after the June debate against Biden. Trump.
For starters, an NBC News poll found Harris slightly ahead of Biden among black voters and ahead of Trump by 64 points (78% to 14%) among that demographic. That compares to Biden’s 57-point lead among black voters (69%-12%).
Meanwhile, the poll showed Trump did He’s slightly better among white voters when he’s identified with Harris instead of Biden, leading him by 16 points among those voters, compared to his 14-point lead against Biden here.
(However, all of these subsets of voters have margins of error significantly larger than the poll’s overall margin of error, which is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.)
Among other demographics — age, gender, Latino voters — there was little difference between Biden or Harris.
But the biggest differences between Biden and Harris in the matchup against Trump go beyond demographics.
Among nearly a quarter of Republican voters who say they disapprove of Trump as the GOP nominee, Trump leads Biden by 46 points, 63% to 17%.
Even more so when Trump’s opponent is Harris these disaffected GOP voters are flocking to Trump. Republicans are in the lead with this group 57 points, rising from 73% to 16%.
Meanwhile, among voters who prefer a third-party candidate on the poll’s multiple-candidate ballot, Trump and Biden are virtually tied in a head-to-head matchup with these voters: Trump at 32%, Biden at 31%, with a majority rejecting these voters. to make a two-way choice, that they are undecided, that they will choose another candidate, or something else.
But when Harris was the choice against Trump, more of those respondents made the choice in the two-way voting test. Vice President Trump leads among these “other” voters 46% to 39%, suggesting higher favorability with voters considering a third-party candidate.
The NBC News poll of 800 registered voters — 660 reached by cellphone — was conducted July 7-9 and had an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.5 percentage points.