Former President Donald Trump is approaching his second term in the White House, and his Republican Party has taken control of the Senate. But control of the House is still up for grabs, as is the size of the incoming Senate majority.
While the votes are still being counted, here’s a look at the uncalled primary races by the NBC News Decision Desk (read more what are these competitions called?). While some battleground states can be predicted relatively quickly, control of the House can take days or even weeks to decide.
Fields of struggle for the presidency
Two so-called “blue wall” states — Michigan and Wisconsin — are too close to call, even though Trump has narrow leads in both Midwestern states.
In the Sun Belt, Trump also leads in Arizona and Nevada, but Arizona is too early to call and Nevada is too close to call.
While Vice President Kamala Harris is leading in New Hampshire, it’s too early to call the race. And it’s too early for Trump-led Alaska to call.
The Senate left to call the races
Arizona Senate: Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake in the vote count, but it’s too early to call the race. Lake trails Trump’s margin in the state, while Gallego leads Harris. Gallego, a Marine veteran, touted his military service in the race against Lake, a former local television news anchor. Lake ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2022, making false claims that the 2022 race was affected by voter fraud.
Michigan Senate: Former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers is currently locked in a tight race with former Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin in a contest that’s too close to call.. Rogers and Slotkin are running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow.
Montana Senate: With so many votes left to be counted in the state, it’s too early to call the race between Democrat Sen. John Tester and Republican Tim Sheehy. Trump carried Montana, and Republicans are confident they can flip this Senate seat.
Nevada Senate: Republican Sam Brown, a battle-wounded military veteran, is in a tight race against Democratic Sen. Jackie Rosen, who is seeking a second term in the Senate. Nevada was narrowly divided in recent elections, with Republican Joe Lombardo taking down the governor’s mansion in 2022, even as Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto won re-election. But while Democrats hope the state’s abortion referendum could help boost turnout for Democratic candidates, the race remains extremely tight.
Pennsylvania Senate: While Trump is projected to win Pennsylvania, he is still too close to calling the Senate race there. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey is running for a third term against Republican Dave McCormick, a former hedge fund CEO who ran unsuccessfully for the GOP Senate nomination in 2022.
Wisconsin Senate: This race between Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin and GOP businessman Eric Hovde remains too close to call. While Democrats praised Baldwin as a charming senator in the state’s rural areas, Republicans also filled the airwaves portraying Baldwin as a creature of Washington. noting the sexual orientation of the first openly gay senator.
Online home control
Home control with them partly because it is not yet clear the number of competitive races, including a number of major races only in California, has not been disclosed. There are other races that are not expected to be competitive but are not yet predicted due to low vote count.
Alaska District At-Large: Republicans are trying to pick up this statewide seat. Republican Nick Begich leads Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola, but he spins around 50% threshold required to win the race outright. If he falls below that threshold, the race then goes to a ranked-choice vote, but Republicans are still confident of carrying the seat in that scenario.
Arizona 1st District: GOP Rep. David Schweikert is in a competitive race against former state lawmaker Democrat Amish Shah in suburban Phoenix.
Arizona 6th District: GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani is trailing Democratic challenger former state Sen. Kirsten Engel in these competitive districts around Tucson.
California’s 3rd District: Rep. Kevin Kiley, a Republican, is leading the district in the Sacramento suburbs over Democrat Jessica Morse, the top official at the California Natural Resources Agency.
California’s 9th District: Democratic Rep. Josh Harder narrowly leads his Republican challenger, Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln.
California’s 13th District: GOP Rep. John Duarte is in a tight race against former state lawmaker Democrat Adam Gray in this Central Valley district.
California’s 22nd District: On January 6, 2021, GOP Rep. David Valadao, one of two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the Capitol riot, is led by his Democratic challenger, former state Assemblyman Rudy Salas.
California’s 27th District: GOP Rep. Mike Garcia is in a tight race against Democrat George Whitesides, former NASA chief of staff and CEO of Virgin Galactic, in this southern California district.
California’s 40th District: GOP Rep. Young Kim His Democratic challenger, retired fire captain Joe Kerr, is leading.
California’s 41st District: Democrats have targeted the district in Riverside County, and GOP Rep. Ken Calvert is in a competitive race against Democrat Will Rollins, a former prosecutor.
California’s 45th District: GOP Rep. Michelle Steele is leading Democratic Army veteran Derek Tran in one of the country’s most expensive races.
California’s 47th District: Republicans want to flip that open seat in Southern California, and former state legislator Republican Scott Baugh is in a competitive race against former state Sen. Dave Min.
California’s 49th District: Also in Southern California, Democratic-Republican Mike Levin is running against car dealer Matt Gunderson.
Colorado’s 3rd District: GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert’s decision to run in the neighboring 4th District, which is heavily Republican, opened up the West Slope seat. Democrat Adam Frisch, who is close to defeating Boebert in 2022, is in a competitive race against Republican Jeff Hurd.
Colorado’s 8th District: Democratic Rep. Yadira Caraveo is locked in a tight race with Republican state Rep. Gabe Evans in suburban Denver.
Indiana’s 1st District: Democratic Rep. Frank Mrwan is leading the race against Republican Randell Niemeyer in this Gary-based district.
Iowa’s 1st District: Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and former state representative Christina Bohannan, a Democrat, are separated by just a few hundred votes. This is familiar territory for Miller-Meeks, who won the 2020 race by just 6 votes.
Maine 2nd District: Democratic Rep. Jared Golden has been the GOP’s top target, surpassing the 50% threshold that would give him a clear victory over Republican state Rep. Austin Theriault, a former NASCAR driver (the state has ranked-choice elections).
Maryland’s 6th District: Democratic Rep. David Trone’s unsuccessful Senate run opened up this Frederick-based district. Democrat April McClain Delaney, wife of former Commerce Department official and ex-Rep. John Delaney, is in a tight race against Republican Neil Parrott, a former state legislator.
Montana 1st District: Democratic attorney Monica Tranel is in a tight battle with Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke, who served as Trump’s first Interior Secretary between House posts.
Nebraska 2nd District: Harris carried this Omaha district and won one of the state’s electoral votes, but GOP Rep. Don Bacon is in a close race against Democratic state Sen. Tony Vargas.
1st District of North Carolina: Democratic Rep. Don Davis is in a competitive race against Republican Laurie Buckhout, an Army veteran and businesswoman.
New Mexico 2nd District: Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez has a slim lead over former GOP Rep. Yvette Herrell, whom Vasquez narrowly defeated in 2022.
Nevada’s 3rd District: Democratic Rep. Susie Lee is in a competitive race against Republican marketing consultant Drew Johnson around Las Vegas.
Nevada’s 4th District: Democratic Rep. Stephen Horsford is leading Republican candidate John Lee, a former mayor of North Vegas.
New York’s 4th District: GOP Rep. Anthony D’Esposito is locked in a tight race against former city supervisor Democrat Laura Gillen in this Long Island district, one of the top Democratic targets.
New York’s 19th District: Democratic Rep. Josh Riley and GOP Rep. Marc Molinaro are neck and neck in a rematch of the 2022 races.
Ohio’s 9th District: Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur is locked in an extremely tight race against GOP state Rep. Derek Merrin.
Oregon District 5: Democrat Janelle Bynum narrowly leads Republican Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer.
Oregon 6th District: Democratic Rep. Andrea Salinas is leading GOP businessman Mike Erickson in another rematch. Salinas outperformed Erickson by 3 percent in 2022.
Pennsylvania’s 7th District: GOP state Rep. Ryan McKenzie narrowly leads Democratic Rep. Susan Wild.
Pennsylvania’s 10th District: GOP Rep. Scott Perry, the former chairman of the Freedom Caucus, is a little more upbeat. former local news anchor Janelle Stelson, a Democrat.
Texas’ 34th District: Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez faces a rematch with former GOP Rep. Mayra Flores, with Gonzalez slightly ahead.
Virginia’s 7th District: Democrat Eugene Windman has a narrow lead over Republican Derrick Anderson. Both candidates are veterans, and Vindman was in the public eye in 2019 when his brother, Alexander Vindman, testified at Trump’s impeachment hearings about a phone call between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Washington’s 3rd District: Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez leads Republican Joe Kent, who she defeated in 2022 by less than 1 point.
Washington’s 4th District: Republican Dan Newhouse narrowly leads Republican former NASCAR driver Jerrod Sessler. (Note: Washington’s primaries nominate the top two vote-getters for the general election, regardless of party.)
Sessler has Trump’s support over the incumbent, one of two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot.
Washington’s 8th District: Democratic Rep. Kim Schrier leads Republican banker Carmen Goers.